1 00:00:08,560 --> 00:00:10,839 Welcome to Nasdaq trade talks, 2 00:00:10,839 --> 00:00:13,919 where we meet with the top thought leaders and strategists in emerging technologies, 3 00:00:13,919 --> 00:00:16,820 digital assets and regulatory landscape, and capital markets. 4 00:00:16,820 --> 00:00:19,000 This segment is presented by Charles Schwab. 5 00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:20,320 I'm your host, Jill Malandrino, 6 00:00:20,320 --> 00:00:21,320 and joining us for this segment, 7 00:00:21,320 --> 00:00:22,659 we have Mackenzie Peterson, 8 00:00:22,659 --> 00:00:24,880 vice president of marketing at Advisorshares, 9 00:00:24,880 --> 00:00:26,000 as well as John Lewis, 10 00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:28,960 senior portfolio manager at Nasdaq. Dorsey Wright. 11 00:00:28,960 --> 00:00:33,760 We're here to discuss what relative strength is and how it cuts through the macro news. 12 00:00:33,760 --> 00:00:35,500 It's great to have the both of you with us. 13 00:00:35,500 --> 00:00:37,020 Mackenzie, welcome to the show. 14 00:00:37,020 --> 00:00:38,540 Give us a high level overview. 15 00:00:38,540 --> 00:00:41,200 What is relative strength and how do investors and 16 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:43,900 portfolio managers use it to cut through? 17 00:00:43,900 --> 00:00:47,560 What promises to be a lot of news in the back half of the year? 18 00:00:47,560 --> 00:00:50,120 That's great. Well, Jill, thanks so much for having me on. Really, really appreciate it. 19 00:00:50,120 --> 00:00:51,600 Again. Uh, so at a high level, 20 00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:54,059 relative strength, I think most people are familiar, but it's sort of, you know, 21 00:00:54,059 --> 00:00:56,119 momentum investing provides sort of a framework 22 00:00:56,119 --> 00:00:59,159 for identifying sort of strength and leaders in 23 00:00:59,159 --> 00:01:01,689 your portfolio and being able to kind of lean into those areas and 24 00:01:01,689 --> 00:01:04,410 lean away from weakness when that changes. 25 00:01:04,410 --> 00:01:06,130 In terms of the lineup there. 26 00:01:06,130 --> 00:01:09,210 Um, like you mentioned, this year has been very hectic and chaotic. 27 00:01:09,210 --> 00:01:12,209 So I think relative strength really offers a way to kind of cut through the noise, 28 00:01:12,209 --> 00:01:15,930 cut through the headlines as we see them or the tweets or the truth social posts, 29 00:01:15,930 --> 00:01:17,789 and kind of give you a sense of where, you know, 30 00:01:17,789 --> 00:01:20,250 the real strength is and be able to kind of lean into those areas. 31 00:01:20,250 --> 00:01:21,609 So ultimately, that's it. 32 00:01:21,609 --> 00:01:23,650 John. So tell us how Nasdaq, Dorsey Wright, 33 00:01:23,650 --> 00:01:28,830 how do you apply it and how are advisors thinking about relative strength right now? 34 00:01:28,830 --> 00:01:30,530 Yeah. So what we do at Nasdaq, 35 00:01:30,530 --> 00:01:34,890 Dorsey Wright is really all centered around this theme of relative strength and momentum. 36 00:01:34,890 --> 00:01:39,550 We're only using price as the input into the decision making process. 37 00:01:39,550 --> 00:01:43,730 Essentially what we're looking to do is in any kind of strategy that we're running, 38 00:01:43,730 --> 00:01:45,829 any of our models, anything like that, 39 00:01:45,829 --> 00:01:48,170 we want to buy strength and sell weakness. 40 00:01:48,170 --> 00:01:50,930 So we are looking for things that have already shown 41 00:01:50,930 --> 00:01:54,030 the ability to outperform the market. 42 00:01:54,030 --> 00:01:55,410 The other things in the universe. 43 00:01:55,410 --> 00:01:57,210 And we want that trend to continue. 44 00:01:57,210 --> 00:02:01,390 And we just hold those positions until they become weak. 45 00:02:01,390 --> 00:02:05,490 John, are there pockets of relative strength that stick out now to you? 46 00:02:05,490 --> 00:02:07,789 Yeah, definitely. And so, you know, 47 00:02:07,789 --> 00:02:10,909 last year was really great with all the, the, 48 00:02:10,909 --> 00:02:14,310 the mega-cap technology that has continued somewhat. 49 00:02:14,310 --> 00:02:16,289 Not all the names are doing as well this year, 50 00:02:16,289 --> 00:02:17,390 but a lot are. 51 00:02:17,390 --> 00:02:21,970 And we've seen a big pickup in a number of areas, especially internationally. 52 00:02:21,970 --> 00:02:25,790 So we've seen that change from what we've seen the past couple years. 53 00:02:25,790 --> 00:02:30,070 Uh, developed markets are doing very well, especially in Europe. 54 00:02:30,070 --> 00:02:34,470 And we've seen that theme really kind of come to the fore so far this year. 55 00:02:34,470 --> 00:02:37,490 Mackenzie. Why international and why now and 56 00:02:37,490 --> 00:02:40,430 what's one way that investors can get exposure to it? 57 00:02:40,430 --> 00:02:42,610 Yeah of course. Well so I do think people have been focused. 58 00:02:42,610 --> 00:02:46,010 Investors have been focused on having some exposure to international in their portfolios. 59 00:02:46,010 --> 00:02:48,510 But for many years now it's been just sort of the US, 60 00:02:48,510 --> 00:02:52,750 the only game in town that sort of changed recently as we've seen some sort of shake up. 61 00:02:52,750 --> 00:02:56,470 So ultimately, I think there's a lot more attention lately towards international. 62 00:02:56,470 --> 00:02:57,770 I know, you know, with a weakening dollar, 63 00:02:57,770 --> 00:03:00,300 that's also kind of a boon for that side of the space. 64 00:03:00,300 --> 00:03:02,779 Um, so yeah, I think ultimately a lot of investors and 65 00:03:02,779 --> 00:03:05,100 advisors are kind of reevaluating their allocation, 66 00:03:05,100 --> 00:03:06,720 how they're getting access to it. 67 00:03:06,720 --> 00:03:08,659 And I think you can kind of diversify the way that 68 00:03:08,659 --> 00:03:10,740 you get access to those international names. 69 00:03:10,740 --> 00:03:13,479 So of course, I would highlight on our end ADR, 70 00:03:13,479 --> 00:03:16,499 the Advisorshares Dorsey Wright ADR ETF, 71 00:03:16,499 --> 00:03:18,740 which offers kind of an interesting and unique way 72 00:03:18,740 --> 00:03:20,679 to get access to some of these international names, 73 00:03:20,679 --> 00:03:24,000 kind of ultimately providing a very concentrated, focused approach. 74 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:26,139 Um, but again, still driven by that relative strength, 75 00:03:26,139 --> 00:03:30,000 but kind of allows you to really target the strongest names internationally. 76 00:03:30,000 --> 00:03:32,899 Some of the names that you might not find in the broader indexes and kind of give you 77 00:03:32,899 --> 00:03:35,860 that really interesting exposure to the international side. 78 00:03:35,860 --> 00:03:38,739 So it's more of a high conviction concentrated portfolio 79 00:03:38,739 --> 00:03:41,560 versus a broad brush index as an example. 80 00:03:41,560 --> 00:03:43,219 Exactly. Yeah. Because I think there are a lot of names 81 00:03:43,219 --> 00:03:44,900 on the international side that are doing well. 82 00:03:44,900 --> 00:03:48,860 But I think if you kind of take the broad brush of all the names, 83 00:03:48,860 --> 00:03:51,940 you might not find as much performance or strength as you can find in 84 00:03:51,940 --> 00:03:55,760 those very specific individual spots or, or names. Ultimately. 85 00:03:55,760 --> 00:03:58,720 John, what's a signal based short strategy? 86 00:03:58,720 --> 00:04:01,220 Oh, a signal based short strategy is 87 00:04:01,220 --> 00:04:03,379 just kind of the opposite of what I mentioned earlier, 88 00:04:03,379 --> 00:04:05,980 where we're looking for strength and wanting that to continue. 89 00:04:05,980 --> 00:04:07,780 So on on the short side, 90 00:04:07,780 --> 00:04:08,980 we do the same thing. 91 00:04:08,980 --> 00:04:13,080 And what we're doing, what we're doing is looking to expose the strategy to the laggards. 92 00:04:13,080 --> 00:04:16,460 Right. The laggards are the are the names that have been underperforming. 93 00:04:16,460 --> 00:04:19,500 They've been very weak on a price momentum basis. 94 00:04:19,500 --> 00:04:21,180 And we want to short those names. 95 00:04:21,180 --> 00:04:25,620 And then when they become strong again we cover them and move on to something weaker. 96 00:04:25,620 --> 00:04:30,220 So it really is just a mirror image of what we're doing on the long side John. 97 00:04:30,220 --> 00:04:31,600 What's the time frame like. 98 00:04:31,600 --> 00:04:34,240 How long do you need to see performance. 99 00:04:34,240 --> 00:04:35,920 Um, switch. 100 00:04:35,920 --> 00:04:39,300 Right. You know, from poor to relatively outperforming. 101 00:04:39,300 --> 00:04:41,199 How long does it take until you, 102 00:04:41,199 --> 00:04:43,040 you know, change the model. 103 00:04:43,040 --> 00:04:45,020 Right. So it depends. 104 00:04:45,020 --> 00:04:48,080 So what we're looking at generally speaking momentum is 105 00:04:48,080 --> 00:04:51,980 kind of a 6 to 12 month time horizon in terms of the window where 106 00:04:51,980 --> 00:04:55,479 you measure uh the different indicators 107 00:04:55,479 --> 00:04:59,250 the changes will take place fairly quickly though, 108 00:04:59,250 --> 00:05:01,670 depending on how quickly the markets are moving. 109 00:05:01,670 --> 00:05:06,390 So one thing to mention any relative strength or momentum strategy is trend following. 110 00:05:06,390 --> 00:05:09,590 So we're never looking to get out in front of anything. 111 00:05:09,590 --> 00:05:13,870 We're always looking to have that performance kind of in the past. 112 00:05:13,870 --> 00:05:17,910 And then we we look to capitalize on that going forward. 113 00:05:17,910 --> 00:05:20,930 And in terms of holding periods we get asked that a lot. 114 00:05:20,930 --> 00:05:24,650 I think what you see is a lot of the trades don't work out. 115 00:05:24,650 --> 00:05:28,450 They don't really underperform by a lot or outperform by a lot. 116 00:05:28,450 --> 00:05:30,230 Those come out fairly quickly, 117 00:05:30,230 --> 00:05:32,230 3 to 6 months sort of thing. 118 00:05:32,230 --> 00:05:35,709 Where you make all your money is the small number of trades, 119 00:05:35,709 --> 00:05:39,030 those large outliers to the upside or the downside. 120 00:05:39,030 --> 00:05:43,289 And you can wind up holding those for several years in a momentum portfolio, 121 00:05:43,289 --> 00:05:48,210 as long as they remain strong on the long side or weak on the short side. 122 00:05:48,210 --> 00:05:52,110 And Mackenzie, what's a way for investors to get exposure to this type of strategy, 123 00:05:52,110 --> 00:05:54,850 and how is it different from your traditional inverse funds? 124 00:05:54,850 --> 00:05:56,410 Of course. Yeah. So I would of course, 125 00:05:56,410 --> 00:06:00,030 push the Advisorshares Dorsey Wright Short ETF, which John manages. 126 00:06:00,030 --> 00:06:02,350 Uh, DW is the ticker there. 127 00:06:02,350 --> 00:06:03,949 Um, like John mentioned again, 128 00:06:03,949 --> 00:06:05,990 it's trying to target just those weak names and 129 00:06:05,990 --> 00:06:08,470 trying to use the relative strength approach to find and target them. 130 00:06:08,470 --> 00:06:10,650 And then of course, when they're showing some positive strength, 131 00:06:10,650 --> 00:06:12,230 move them out of the portfolio. 132 00:06:12,230 --> 00:06:13,810 Um, those have been, you know, 133 00:06:13,810 --> 00:06:15,310 working very well so far this year. 134 00:06:15,310 --> 00:06:18,650 I was just reviewing over and as of quarter end in 2025, 135 00:06:18,650 --> 00:06:20,629 it's actually beating the S&P 500, 136 00:06:20,629 --> 00:06:21,790 which is surprising for some people. 137 00:06:21,790 --> 00:06:24,049 I think if you see that the S&P is up, you know, 138 00:06:24,049 --> 00:06:26,890 about 5.5% this year as of quarter end, 139 00:06:26,890 --> 00:06:28,310 you might think it's a short fund. 140 00:06:28,310 --> 00:06:29,630 So of course it should be down. 141 00:06:29,630 --> 00:06:32,910 But again, I think that comes down to the fact that it's targeting those weak names. 142 00:06:32,910 --> 00:06:33,970 So you're able to, you know, 143 00:06:33,970 --> 00:06:36,470 find some alpha on that side which is really important. 144 00:06:36,470 --> 00:06:39,050 And you mentioned, you know, comparing that to an inverse fund. 145 00:06:39,050 --> 00:06:42,790 Uh, a lot of people look to inverse funds to kind of manage some of the volatility. 146 00:06:42,790 --> 00:06:44,629 Uh, but ultimately with that approach, 147 00:06:44,629 --> 00:06:48,230 you do kind of take on shorting some of the good with the bad. 148 00:06:48,230 --> 00:06:51,089 Um, so again, I think something you have to manage short term day to day, 149 00:06:51,089 --> 00:06:52,330 less true for DWS. 150 00:06:52,330 --> 00:06:54,520 You can kind of dial up and dial down. 151 00:06:54,520 --> 00:06:57,680 And especially as we feel like we're kind of heading back into some of the chaos, 152 00:06:57,680 --> 00:07:00,060 I know the tariff stuff is peeking its head back up. 153 00:07:00,060 --> 00:07:03,440 A sleepy summer is definitely not what we're potentially in store for again, 154 00:07:03,440 --> 00:07:06,859 so it's a good way to for people to kind of look at a way to, you know, 155 00:07:06,859 --> 00:07:09,319 manage some of that in a way where they're not having to manage 156 00:07:09,319 --> 00:07:12,880 that same day exposure like you would for an inverse fund. 157 00:07:12,880 --> 00:07:15,000 And John, to wrap up here, what's next? 158 00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:16,879 What are some of the key signals that you're going to be looking 159 00:07:16,879 --> 00:07:19,180 for for the back half of 2025? 160 00:07:19,180 --> 00:07:21,959 Yeah, I think we're looking at probably a lot of 161 00:07:21,959 --> 00:07:25,040 volatility related to the news headlines and things like that. 162 00:07:25,040 --> 00:07:28,779 And I think the biggest thing for us is going to be having this kind of 163 00:07:28,779 --> 00:07:32,580 price based system very unemotional, very disciplined. 164 00:07:32,580 --> 00:07:34,520 It kind of cuts through all of that. 165 00:07:34,520 --> 00:07:36,620 So no matter what the headlines are, 166 00:07:36,620 --> 00:07:39,199 no matter what's going on at any one given time, 167 00:07:39,199 --> 00:07:44,080 we're letting the market and price tell us where we want the portfolio positioned, 168 00:07:44,080 --> 00:07:45,880 what we need to sell, what we need to buy. 169 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:50,280 And it's just day after day after day and unemotional, systematic process. 170 00:07:50,280 --> 00:07:51,479 So I think for us, 171 00:07:51,479 --> 00:07:54,319 that's always the most important thing is to kind of keep 172 00:07:54,319 --> 00:07:58,860 our emotions and biases out of the equation and just focus on what's working. 173 00:07:58,860 --> 00:08:01,760 Yeah. And Mackenzie, to wrap up your thoughts for the back half of 174 00:08:01,760 --> 00:08:04,700 2025 and from a fundamental perspective, what you'll be looking for. 175 00:08:04,700 --> 00:08:06,640 Of course, I would just add on to a little bit of what John was saying. 176 00:08:06,640 --> 00:08:08,320 I feel like, you know, managing your emotions 177 00:08:08,320 --> 00:08:10,080 and managing your own biases is always important. 178 00:08:10,080 --> 00:08:12,120 But again, I think it feels especially important in 179 00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:14,160 2025 and kind of the current environment we're in. 180 00:08:14,160 --> 00:08:16,839 So again, I'm, you know, very proud of those strategies and the work 181 00:08:16,839 --> 00:08:19,740 that John has been doing as well as the Nasdaq Dorsey Wright team. 182 00:08:19,740 --> 00:08:22,219 Um, but ultimately, I think what we're looking at is kind of 183 00:08:22,219 --> 00:08:24,700 figuring out how to position a lot of advisors are, 184 00:08:24,700 --> 00:08:28,180 you know, getting a sense of of what they might be needing for the fall. 185 00:08:28,180 --> 00:08:30,319 So I think it's a good time to kind of review the tools 186 00:08:30,319 --> 00:08:32,480 that you have at hand to try to navigate. 187 00:08:32,480 --> 00:08:33,700 Maybe some of the volatility we have. 188 00:08:33,700 --> 00:08:35,540 Doesn't mean you have to be hyper reactive. 189 00:08:35,540 --> 00:08:38,880 Um, but again, I think it's a good time to kind of take a look and assess, 190 00:08:38,880 --> 00:08:42,120 um, you know, what we might need in in the fall ultimately. 191 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:43,560 All right. We appreciate the insight. 192 00:08:43,560 --> 00:08:44,920 Thanks for joining us on trade talks. 193 00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:48,560 I'm Joe Malandrino, global markets reporter at Nasdaq.