WEBVTT

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What's going on y'all? Welcome back to the Mining Pod.

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This week's news roundup edition with your boy Colin

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and your boys Charlie and Matt. Gentlemen. How are we doing today?

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Oh, I'm, I'm fantastic. Bitcoin currently is 98 maybe 99,000.

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So by the time you're listening to this,

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we will know whether to hit 100 K in between this podcast and the dropping.

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Yeah, we might do a little uh breaking news segment if we

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rip past 100 K during this round up. But

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price aside, we've got a pretty stacked

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lineup for today's roundup.

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We're gonna be going over asic prices from the

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mining pod newsletter that we sent out this week.

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We're gonna do an update on the Russian mining

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restrictions for certain regions given uh energy shortfalls during this

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consuming winter season.

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A pretty cool story about Hill

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Corp,

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an oil and gas company piloting mining in Alaska,

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an off grid oil site, mining pilot. Pretty interesting.

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We're going to go into an update on A I pivots from Bitcoin miners,

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a few that have slipped through the crack in our coverage.

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We're also going to be looking at the

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multi billions of dollars worth of shorts

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open against mining stocks.

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And then for this week's cry corner,

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a delicious update that Gary Ginzler will be resigning on January 20th

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next year. But before we hop into it, a quick word from our sponsors,

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investor interested in Bitcoin mining companies?

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The minor maag brings you free data and analysis from all

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check out visualized metrics and data dependent stories at the Miner

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maag.com.

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Thanks for listening to the Mining Pod. Want more.

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Subscribe to our main feed on Apple, Spotify, youtube or wherever else.

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You get your podcast for another weekly show on Bitcoin Stocks

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and check out our newsletter at Mining pod dot blog space dot media today.

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All right, gents,

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we're back and we're going to start off per usual and I did not say this during the

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intro, but people get it. We do this every week

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with this week's difficulty update.

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So Matt, I'm going to

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kick it over to you. Let me get Mle dot Space pulled up,

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Matt. What are we seeing?

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Yeah,

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we got an estimated retarget coming up December 2nd at the time of recording where

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about 1500

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blocks out.

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Uh Times are good

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right now. Times are good.

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Um We have hash price sitting at just over $60 per pet of hash per day,

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which has been maintained over the last about a week and a half,

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which is really strong, uh,

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a really strong level since the Bitcoin

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having basically the highest it's been talked

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about this a bit last week outside of a couple major fee spikes.

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And miners are, yeah, gonna enjoy this for,

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you know,

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until an estimated December 2nd blocks are coming in pretty quick right now.

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I think quite a bit of machines might have come online. So the next

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adjustment is as of as of right now, you know, subject to change. Of course,

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uh a

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little over 9% increase

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which will be, which will be significant.

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But

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that's the, that's the outlook for difficulty.

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Any

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Charlie, any uh

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any expected fee spikes in the next

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couple weeks, week or so to impact this equation.

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I mean, if you just look at the past two weeks, we saw

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transaction activity on Bitcoin pick up driven of course by

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ruins and ruins mints which then did reflect materially and

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like a two or three to maybe even 10 X increase in fee rates depending on which like,

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you know, few blocks you look at. But we have seen a material increase in fees.

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And if history is to be an example, then after a Bitcoin price run up,

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we often see the beta assets and the assets on Bitcoin also heat up.

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So my finger in the wind says

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Bitcoin to 100 K.

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So do secondary asset mints and activity on Bitcoin.

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So I would be long transaction fee rates.

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As long as Bitcoin is going up

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liquidity, shifting to meme coins on Bitcoin.

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It's a, it's a real mechanic. Now you have to admit it.

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It is. Well, it, it's, you know, it fits in with kind of normal market or normal.

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But you know what I mean?

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Typically during bull runs, Bitcoin reps, liquidity cycles into ALTs,

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liquidity sells from ALTs goes back into Bitcoin rinse and repeat until,

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until, you know,

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everything comes crashing down and everyone's poor begging

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on the street living in cardboard boxes.

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Um One thing to note,

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going back to the difficulty really quickly.

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Um

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I wanna just

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uh share this uh chart from our friends at Luxor

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and hash rate index.

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Bitcoin recently,

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uh our hash rate recently hit an all time high on the seven day of looks like 776

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782 X hashes a second. Ok. So

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for what Matt said,

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hash rate is absolutely ripping right now on the three

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day went as high as 815 extra hashes a second

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today.

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And so, I mean, miners as always just relentlessly deploying hash

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and, and you know, this, this will probably not slow down considering

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like Matt was saying hash price up, you know,

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a decent amount still pretty thin margins.

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But if you got an X GEN machine, you're feeling much more comfortable during this

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or after this. Uh price pop from Bitcoin 815 is wild. What, when one is that? A hash,

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oh,

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that was like the over, under prediction for a lot of people this year.

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And I, I'd be surprised if we hit it, but January ones at a hash incoming,

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I think Q one of next year, it's,

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I mean, I would be

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a little surprised. Obviously, this assumes that Bitcoin is still elevated.

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If, if the market, if the bull market ends early, then we could see that not manifest.

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But

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if Bitcoin continues to rip the all time highs in Q one of next year,

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I would be shocked if we didn't exit it around 11 zeta hash

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um

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would be, you know, a great topic for a show once that happens,

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it's just an incredible milestone,

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you know, um

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you know,

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so bit Bitcoin is all around the world rejoicing

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at how many cyber Hornets are protecting their,

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their generational wealth.

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Um OK. Anyway,

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now that we have that out of the way, we're gonna hop on to this week's

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uh the first week or the first story of this week which

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uh we wrote for the newsletter for the Mining Pod this week.

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Asic prices rebound hard on Bitcoin rally.

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Um Not really anything groundbreaking here, right?

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Um I just wanted to give an update on the Asic market because obviously,

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if Bitcoin is going up and hash price is going up,

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Asic

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prices are going to follow

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and some interesting Tbis here. Um

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unsurprisingly

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from our sources that we talked to for this, we talked to uh Lauren Lynn at Luxor,

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we talked to uh Alex Dissinger at Kaboom

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Racks and then Blake Davis at Block Wear.

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And unsurprisingly, the S 21 series is the most sought after. Currently.

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Um the S 21 Pro Vanilla S 21 and S 21 XP

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have been some of the most popular

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miners during this current rally.

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They're the most in demand and their prices have kind of reflected

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that they've risen anywhere from 5 to 10% depending on the marketplace

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and depending on the uh minimum order quantity.

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Uh Another interesting tidbit though from uh Lux or as

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price data that was shared with me is that the S

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19 J Pro month over month from when I wrote,

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this was up like 30%.

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And so, you know, this is kind of this cycle s nine,

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the S nine trade during the 2020 2021 bull market

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was very profitable for anyone who partook in it.

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But, you know, s nines were going for nothing. They were being given away

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in the last bear market and then they increased exponentially.

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I think at the peak, you could sell one for like 1500 or $2000 you know,

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just something crazy.

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And Alex of Kuma

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thinks that he would not be surprised if S 19 J Pros sold for as much as three K.

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Uh this bull market, not financial advice.

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We'll see if that actually comes to pass,

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but kind of an interesting hardware trade that people have been talking about for

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a while as Bitcoin climbed to all time highs one last thing for this,

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you know, in, in the light or the shadow depending on who you talk to

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of Elon Musk's perennial shilling of doge coin

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and his and Vivek Ramaswamy department of government efficiency are

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just an incredible acronym.

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I can't believe we live in a universe where

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there is going to be a government department that is

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that, that derives its name from the first meme coin.

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But um

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Dogue coin miners like the L nine and L seven are going for crazy

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uh amounts. I mean the L nine according to Alex Uncle Boom

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Rack is nearing like 20 kl seven,

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which was released three years ago going for like seven K.

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So um you know,

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nothing new here. The sun rises in the east and sets in the west.

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It's another bull market and dope coin will not die

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and it might even flip Ethereum this bull market. But

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um that's, that's kind of it for me on this one. Do you have any thoughts on this?

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Yeah, I do have some thoughts. I mean, uh

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on the Doge

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Coin saga,

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the what we're seeing is uh this hasn't really trickled into western

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um uh ecosystems yet, but

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other previous Forks of Doge

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that have been

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discontinued their mining,

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uh you know, from over a decade ago have been resurrected

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and these things have not really been integrated

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at the holistic merge mining pool level yet.

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So you see Forks of Doge

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such as Lucky Coin and Bell's coin

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very popular in China,

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possibly even more of these coming, which use script hash, so that it's the same uh

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hash function

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and it's not really reflected,

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I think in uh like more conventional investors minds because one,

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they don't know what a fork is of a coin

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and two

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it's not like the pools that you would use aren't

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as like simple plug and play uh as they would be

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previously. But yeah, these coins are ripping. And if,

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and the thing is, you know, if we got any OG Bitcoin miners in the space,

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you might remember that like the proof,

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the proof of work shit coin fork um meta from like 14 to 16 or 17 was a big one.

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And then all the air got sucked out of the room

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for the proof of stake as e dominated crypto narrative.

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Well,

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now that Ethereum has lost its luster and proof of stake is

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in a little bit of existential crisis as a viable consensus mechanism,

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prove it works back on the table. So we're seeing a lot of these Eastern De

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Js spin up these old ancient, formerly deprecated

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uh side uh uh

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chains and merge by them. So

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um not financial advice but bullish on L nines.

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And here's the, the, the Bells coin hash rate. I mean,

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and obvious. I don't know if this is an error because it doesn't seem like it.

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So it was more, it was just that, it was more, it just, uh,

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it was, it was this one, it was two or three pools that, um,

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that kind of just did this on the side and manually paid out their clients.

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So it wasn't even really able to be tracked at the time.

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All right.

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So,

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but it does look like we have some data if in

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early August where it was at like 60 to 70 tera

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hashes. And now it's, it's up to above a pet of hash

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um um which is just kind of crazy.

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So um that,

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that's kind of an interesting secondary effect from all of this DJ miners.

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Look out

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there,

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there are basically meme coins to go to go mine. My B A

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folks learn script has

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or resurrect old sha 256

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coins. I don't know,

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you know, my S nine will be humming away on Vert coin or something like that.

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Actually, I don't even think, I don't even know if that's as

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compatible. Who knows

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today's show is brought to you by digital shovel.

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not just individual components.

250
00:12:30.210 --> 00:12:30.950
Additionally,

251
00:12:30.960 --> 00:12:34.099
digital shovel is one of the most vertically integrated manufacturers

252
00:12:34.190 --> 00:12:37.619
of over 75,000 square feet of sheet metal shop,

253
00:12:37.630 --> 00:12:42.599
SMT and Wave Sawer PC B assembly as well as final assembly all under one roof.

254
00:12:42.609 --> 00:12:43.729
In Toronto, Canada,

255
00:12:43.940 --> 00:12:45.989
their price point leads the industry when compared

256
00:12:46.000 --> 00:12:48.369
to products with rates as low as 69,000 per

257
00:12:48.380 --> 00:12:53.130
megawatt for a complete data center with smart PD US and switch gears to learn more.

258
00:12:53.140 --> 00:12:55.239
Visit digital shovel.com.

259
00:12:58.219 --> 00:13:00.450
Moving on away from the shit coins.

260
00:13:00.460 --> 00:13:04.940
Sorry if we offended anyone's sensibilities by talking about them this show. But

261
00:13:05.059 --> 00:13:07.760
moving on to the next story in our lineup,

262
00:13:07.770 --> 00:13:10.580
Russia bans winter Cryptocurrency mining in Siberia,

263
00:13:10.590 --> 00:13:13.280
the northern caucuses and occupied Ukraine Matt.

264
00:13:14.179 --> 00:13:15.359
What's going on in Russia?

265
00:13:15.630 --> 00:13:18.409
Yeah. So maybe, maybe the reason we don't hit

266
00:13:18.609 --> 00:13:19.289
one Zetta has

267
00:13:19.429 --> 00:13:20.429
is the

268
00:13:20.919 --> 00:13:22.190
what a lot of people

269
00:13:23.280 --> 00:13:25.099
anticipate or estimate

270
00:13:25.229 --> 00:13:27.380
as the second largest

271
00:13:27.669 --> 00:13:29.849
uh Bitcoin mining country. Russia

272
00:13:30.049 --> 00:13:31.700
is basically gonna

273
00:13:31.900 --> 00:13:33.090
put on a ban.

274
00:13:33.299 --> 00:13:35.140
Um And what they're gonna do is

275
00:13:35.419 --> 00:13:37.020
prohibit from

276
00:13:38.109 --> 00:13:44.369
uh looks like the very end of Q four starting December 1st to mid March.

277
00:13:44.380 --> 00:13:47.270
March 15th is when they say the restrictions here.

278
00:13:47.760 --> 00:13:52.609
Yeah, I mean, I think this is, I guess a cautious approach you might say because

279
00:13:52.809 --> 00:13:53.489
of

280
00:13:53.770 --> 00:13:54.690
how much

281
00:13:54.979 --> 00:13:59.359
heating will be necessary for, for residents in, in Russia.

282
00:13:59.369 --> 00:14:01.570
And I think they're weary of uh

283
00:14:01.799 --> 00:14:06.890
the electricity consumption from, from miners. And so they're stepping in

284
00:14:07.250 --> 00:14:07.809
um

285
00:14:08.659 --> 00:14:10.599
another note of, of uh

286
00:14:11.380 --> 00:14:15.479
of seasonality of the times of old, right, where, you know, China,

287
00:14:15.489 --> 00:14:18.679
there was lots of seasonality between the, the wet season and then

288
00:14:19.119 --> 00:14:22.400
um high cold power miners. And

289
00:14:22.539 --> 00:14:25.960
now we see a, a bit of seasonality in the demand response

290
00:14:26.299 --> 00:14:27.539
in uh Texas

291
00:14:27.690 --> 00:14:28.359
during

292
00:14:28.989 --> 00:14:32.140
uh for opposite reasons than Russia to cool homes.

293
00:14:32.150 --> 00:14:34.750
And now we're seeing a, a kind of top down,

294
00:14:35.039 --> 00:14:35.640
um

295
00:14:36.760 --> 00:14:37.820
looks like

296
00:14:38.369 --> 00:14:40.469
restrictions in, in Russia to,

297
00:14:40.650 --> 00:14:42.460
to heat homes. Um

298
00:14:42.630 --> 00:14:43.859
I want, I don't know if it's,

299
00:14:44.549 --> 00:14:47.729
if it's gonna be a long enough amount of time to wear

300
00:14:48.799 --> 00:14:52.820
miners pick up and move. Right. But I mean, if you're a containerized solution,

301
00:14:53.169 --> 00:14:55.419
uh maybe, but what do you guys

302
00:14:55.909 --> 00:14:59.580
it looked like? Um According to that, it was to March 2025.

303
00:14:59.940 --> 00:15:03.539
Um So whether or not it actually stays that long.

304
00:15:04.059 --> 00:15:04.700
Um

305
00:15:05.000 --> 00:15:07.140
It's kind of to be determined. But

306
00:15:07.429 --> 00:15:09.400
yeah, to your point, I'd be curious, like,

307
00:15:09.409 --> 00:15:12.330
are any miners grandfathered into this is the

308
00:15:12.340 --> 00:15:15.690
restriction wholesale like everyone who's mining get out.

309
00:15:15.960 --> 00:15:18.090
Um Is it kind of just like moratoriums that we've seen

310
00:15:18.099 --> 00:15:20.369
in the past or they're not gonna allow any new ones?

311
00:15:20.919 --> 00:15:21.539
Um

312
00:15:21.690 --> 00:15:24.020
I'd be really curious to see obviously the

313
00:15:24.030 --> 00:15:26.950
Russian Ukraine war in the backdrop of this,

314
00:15:27.179 --> 00:15:30.140
the restrictions extend to Russian occupied Ukraine,

315
00:15:30.429 --> 00:15:34.619
which I think is interesting. It's like, are there even any miners in that region?

316
00:15:34.630 --> 00:15:36.559
I mean, that's like the seat

317
00:15:36.669 --> 00:15:41.039
of a war that is very hot and has been going on since February of 2022.

318
00:15:41.359 --> 00:15:44.710
Um, or really if you want to go back even further to the, you know, I mean, like,

319
00:15:44.719 --> 00:15:48.469
what 2014, I think was when the fighting in the Donbass started breaking out.

320
00:15:48.479 --> 00:15:48.979
Anyway.

321
00:15:49.460 --> 00:15:50.020
Um,

322
00:15:50.469 --> 00:15:54.099
kind of curious. Um, and I like your point matt about the seasonality.

323
00:15:54.109 --> 00:15:57.169
It'll be notable going forward to see how

324
00:15:57.179 --> 00:15:59.380
much the Russian winner will affect hash rate.

325
00:15:59.390 --> 00:16:02.609
I think we'll get a better idea of just how much hash rate is in the region.

326
00:16:02.909 --> 00:16:05.049
Um Some interesting statistics from that.

327
00:16:05.820 --> 00:16:09.250
Um The Bit River CEO estimates that 1.9%

328
00:16:09.590 --> 00:16:13.849
of all of Russians, Russia's energy or, or, or the uh

329
00:16:13.960 --> 00:16:18.349
1.9% of projected power generation for Russia for 2024 goes to mining,

330
00:16:18.590 --> 00:16:20.510
that's roughly 2.7 gigawatts.

331
00:16:20.520 --> 00:16:24.049
The Energy Ministry estimates it to be about 1.5%

332
00:16:24.059 --> 00:16:26.150
hard to say which one is more accurate.

333
00:16:26.159 --> 00:16:29.340
Uh energy industry prob ministry probably a little more

334
00:16:29.489 --> 00:16:32.479
accurate there, but obviously Bit River is very active in the area.

335
00:16:32.489 --> 00:16:34.520
So they would know all the major players.

336
00:16:34.710 --> 00:16:37.969
And another thing too, there was a recent tax levied

337
00:16:38.349 --> 00:16:42.369
against miners. There was a, a bill that had all these provisions for

338
00:16:42.500 --> 00:16:45.330
C for how to handle crypto and, and Bitcoin under tax law.

339
00:16:45.630 --> 00:16:50.239
And the Russian tax authority is expecting about 2 billion

340
00:16:50.539 --> 00:16:56.309
in tax receipts from miners in 2024. Um pretty staggering amount, Charlie.

341
00:16:56.320 --> 00:16:58.130
I don't know if you have anything to add to this.

342
00:16:58.690 --> 00:16:59.750
Maybe we see.

343
00:16:59.760 --> 00:17:04.209
Uh I'm, I'm always looking for like the new uh China wet season uh dynamic.

344
00:17:04.219 --> 00:17:10.569
So maybe we have the US summer demand response. Texas is hot. Mining is, is uh

345
00:17:10.680 --> 00:17:15.819
off and on phenomenon and then we have the Russia winter freeze.

346
00:17:16.000 --> 00:17:17.189
Um I think

347
00:17:17.598 --> 00:17:22.790
global weather and geopolitics will continue to drive seasonality of hash rate.

348
00:17:23.989 --> 00:17:25.040
Well said,

349
00:17:25.400 --> 00:17:27.650
speaking of seasonality,

350
00:17:29.069 --> 00:17:33.020
uh we're going to a place that's very cold gentleman. Oh, wait, go ahead, Matt.

351
00:17:33.790 --> 00:17:36.939
Sorry, I was looking up something while you're, while you're in transition.

352
00:17:37.150 --> 00:17:40.609
I think you said that river estimated 1.9

353
00:17:41.170 --> 00:17:42.209
gigawatts,

354
00:17:42.619 --> 00:17:43.689
1.9%

355
00:17:44.760 --> 00:17:45.640
2.6%.

356
00:17:46.099 --> 00:17:46.469
Yeah.

357
00:17:47.040 --> 00:17:48.939
Did it, did you say a gigawatt figure?

358
00:17:49.040 --> 00:17:50.719
Uh yeah, 2.7 gigawatts,

359
00:17:51.140 --> 00:17:52.099
2.7.

360
00:17:52.239 --> 00:17:52.900
So,

361
00:17:53.699 --> 00:17:56.000
um, well, it's not perfectly correct. Right.

362
00:17:56.010 --> 00:17:58.989
It's just an estimate, but uh Cambridge has

363
00:17:59.420 --> 00:18:01.520
the network at about 20 gigawatts.

364
00:18:01.890 --> 00:18:02.479
So

365
00:18:02.989 --> 00:18:04.719
it's about two, that's like 10%

366
00:18:05.250 --> 00:18:05.800
of,

367
00:18:06.209 --> 00:18:07.040
you know, and then like,

368
00:18:07.050 --> 00:18:09.849
obviously that doesn't necessarily represent hash rate either.

369
00:18:09.859 --> 00:18:11.729
We don't know what machines are out there. But here,

370
00:18:12.119 --> 00:18:13.660
the point, it could be

371
00:18:13.890 --> 00:18:17.579
a pretty significant amount of the, of the network anyway.

372
00:18:19.160 --> 00:18:22.199
And that's really interesting. And that, to me gives

373
00:18:22.619 --> 00:18:26.099
an impression that perhaps Russia has the third largest hash rate share

374
00:18:26.430 --> 00:18:30.349
because some people estimate China still having like 15 or 20%

375
00:18:30.630 --> 00:18:33.660
which is pretty crazy. And I don't know how we really derive that.

376
00:18:33.670 --> 00:18:38.270
That's really kind of like finger in the wind spitballing. But

377
00:18:38.510 --> 00:18:44.510
um that's wonderful color. So you heard it here first folks from the Mac Kimmel

378
00:18:44.719 --> 00:18:48.390
potentially 10% of the network cash rate in Russia.

379
00:18:48.900 --> 00:18:49.550
Um

380
00:18:50.050 --> 00:18:52.609
China, by the way, easing some of their

381
00:18:52.739 --> 00:18:56.209
previous hostilities that has happened time and time again in Bitcoin.

382
00:18:57.130 --> 00:18:57.189
Really

383
00:18:57.500 --> 00:18:57.699
interesting

384
00:18:57.819 --> 00:18:58.189
to see.

385
00:18:59.469 --> 00:19:02.010
Interesting to see if they reverse that. I asked uh

386
00:19:02.829 --> 00:19:04.089
our guest on

387
00:19:04.250 --> 00:19:07.060
the Bitcoin Stock Show yesterday, Doctor Yu Wei

388
00:19:07.420 --> 00:19:07.859
Yong

389
00:19:07.969 --> 00:19:09.209
of bit mining,

390
00:19:09.219 --> 00:19:12.619
whether or not he thinks there's going to be a complete reversal of the ban.

391
00:19:12.770 --> 00:19:14.589
He doesn't think that that's in the cards,

392
00:19:14.599 --> 00:19:18.849
but he did confirm that the restrictions in certain provinces have been eased.

393
00:19:19.380 --> 00:19:22.839
Um which, you know, I I said on the show then and I'll say it now.

394
00:19:23.079 --> 00:19:27.119
It seems to me that it would be advantageous for China to allow Bitcoin miners

395
00:19:27.130 --> 00:19:31.969
to come back because they are deploying nuclear and coal at a rapid clip.

396
00:19:31.979 --> 00:19:36.140
And it would be probably pretty uh beneficial for

397
00:19:36.150 --> 00:19:38.089
them to be able to use Bitcoin mining to soak

398
00:19:38.099 --> 00:19:40.650
up some of that energy and produce additional revenues before

399
00:19:40.660 --> 00:19:42.760
they have transmission built for that kind of stuff.

400
00:19:42.770 --> 00:19:43.560
But anyway,

401
00:19:43.880 --> 00:19:44.520
um

402
00:19:45.349 --> 00:19:47.369
let's move on to

403
00:19:48.000 --> 00:19:49.810
a very cold, cold place,

404
00:19:50.339 --> 00:19:52.709
the north slope of Alaska.

405
00:19:52.719 --> 00:19:58.530
So this is one of the my favorite stories I've heard I've not been dialed into

406
00:19:58.770 --> 00:20:00.199
the oil and gas and Bitcoin

407
00:20:00.380 --> 00:20:06.270
beat for a little while, but Hill Corp, one of the largest privately owned, uh, uh,

408
00:20:06.280 --> 00:20:08.689
oil and gas producers in North America

409
00:20:09.189 --> 00:20:14.390
is piloting a small but substantial 1.4 megawatt Bitcoin

410
00:20:14.400 --> 00:20:16.770
mine up in the north slope of Alaska.

411
00:20:16.780 --> 00:20:20.770
The north slope is the largest oil field in North America.

412
00:20:21.199 --> 00:20:24.770
And it's really interesting because from oil and gas, you know,

413
00:20:24.780 --> 00:20:26.989
this the gas up there is very dry.

414
00:20:27.310 --> 00:20:30.699
It's um very easy to, to drill a well.

415
00:20:30.709 --> 00:20:34.930
And like these long deep wells which are typically more profitable to do

416
00:20:35.130 --> 00:20:36.770
because it's easy to acquire

417
00:20:36.939 --> 00:20:37.729
acreage

418
00:20:37.920 --> 00:20:38.869
altogether.

419
00:20:39.189 --> 00:20:41.400
It's just easier to drill a well up there

420
00:20:41.410 --> 00:20:43.949
from a deal flow and a capital deployment standard.

421
00:20:43.959 --> 00:20:44.800
However,

422
00:20:45.380 --> 00:20:50.510
the big challenge is transporting that gas to the market

423
00:20:50.520 --> 00:20:52.969
which exists on the other side of the continent.

424
00:20:53.430 --> 00:20:54.010
So

425
00:20:54.599 --> 00:20:55.189
like

426
00:20:55.510 --> 00:21:02.719
this is the perfect scenario for uh stranded or economically stranded energy.

427
00:21:03.030 --> 00:21:05.290
And so we're seeing is Hill Corp is piloting their,

428
00:21:05.479 --> 00:21:08.819
their, their, they have AJ V with a company named T A Infrastructure,

429
00:21:08.829 --> 00:21:09.989
I guess from Texas.

430
00:21:10.109 --> 00:21:11.359
I'm not familiar with them

431
00:21:11.739 --> 00:21:13.969
and they filed a four year permit

432
00:21:14.099 --> 00:21:17.329
starting this month, November extending to 2028

433
00:21:17.739 --> 00:21:20.099
to pilot out this

434
00:21:20.410 --> 00:21:25.109
Bitcoin mine. And I think this is really interesting because this is a major company

435
00:21:25.290 --> 00:21:28.150
and um I don't know if they did a press release,

436
00:21:28.160 --> 00:21:32.790
but this is um you can see this in the filings with, on the, uh, uh,

437
00:21:32.859 --> 00:21:35.910
on the Alaska Department of Natural Resources.

438
00:21:36.689 --> 00:21:42.229
So I'm actually kind of interested because the way Alaska takes excise tax

439
00:21:42.439 --> 00:21:43.579
is in,

440
00:21:43.890 --> 00:21:44.560
um,

441
00:21:44.880 --> 00:21:47.989
is as a percentage of, like, uh,

442
00:21:48.300 --> 00:21:50.650
what that gas would sell for at market.

443
00:21:51.349 --> 00:21:53.670
And so I don't know what, I don't know. Yeah.

444
00:21:53.680 --> 00:21:57.250
So I actually think the, one of the more interesting technicalities is going to be

445
00:21:57.790 --> 00:22:02.650
how the, the production, either it's a excise or a gross production tax,

446
00:22:02.969 --> 00:22:03.189
right?

447
00:22:03.199 --> 00:22:08.119
Like is, is the tax based on the actual Bitcoin mine, the revenue from that or the

448
00:22:08.479 --> 00:22:10.380
it's gonna, it's gonna be related, well,

449
00:22:10.390 --> 00:22:13.569
it's gonna be related to the gas because historically,

450
00:22:13.829 --> 00:22:17.400
I actually don't know, like sometimes they'll like run generators on site

451
00:22:17.719 --> 00:22:20.339
and I don't know if that gas is taxed. So

452
00:22:20.550 --> 00:22:22.219
this is really interesting anyway,

453
00:22:22.569 --> 00:22:25.260
but um they do have their finger in the wind to

454
00:22:25.560 --> 00:22:30.099
evaluate if this makes sense at scale 1.4 megawatts means they're probably using

455
00:22:30.410 --> 00:22:35.060
uh a few just reciprocating engines. These are pretty standard for the oil field.

456
00:22:35.469 --> 00:22:38.979
But I like to see this, this is what we all know. And I will say

457
00:22:39.280 --> 00:22:42.369
this is probably not flared gas, you know,

458
00:22:42.380 --> 00:22:45.099
this is pro you don't really see much flaring

459
00:22:45.369 --> 00:22:46.689
up in the north slope.

460
00:22:47.130 --> 00:22:47.689
Um

461
00:22:48.500 --> 00:22:51.910
And I think a lot of the narrative over like, you know,

462
00:22:51.920 --> 00:22:55.910
what do Bitcoin mining and gas producers look like?

463
00:22:56.260 --> 00:22:58.660
I think flaring is a great narrative for the environment.

464
00:22:58.670 --> 00:23:03.719
But when it comes down to real like uh economic trade offs,

465
00:23:03.729 --> 00:23:07.640
the lower hanging fruit is gas that is economically stranded.

466
00:23:07.709 --> 00:23:08.319
So

467
00:23:09.229 --> 00:23:10.800
I think this, they'll find

468
00:23:11.010 --> 00:23:15.369
that this uh project will probably be a technical success and then

469
00:23:16.069 --> 00:23:19.770
it's up to the market, whether they feel if it's worth pursuing more.

470
00:23:20.050 --> 00:23:23.780
How much do the conditions in Alaska factor into this though? I mean,

471
00:23:24.349 --> 00:23:24.449
I

472
00:23:25.510 --> 00:23:27.930
like Alaskan winner would be brutal.

473
00:23:28.319 --> 00:23:30.099
Yeah, that's one thing. I don't know.

474
00:23:30.109 --> 00:23:32.750
I mean, you talk to the Canadian miners who do it up in the,

475
00:23:32.760 --> 00:23:34.520
in like Alberta like Steve and

476
00:23:35.010 --> 00:23:37.979
they say that like if you recirculate the air

477
00:23:38.089 --> 00:23:42.609
and you have a particular like recirculation of the hot aisle back under

478
00:23:42.880 --> 00:23:46.640
to the bottom of the container back in, like you can maintain these

479
00:23:46.839 --> 00:23:50.880
and the real risk is actually more if you get any downtime.

480
00:23:51.130 --> 00:23:52.589
And which is interesting because I think

481
00:23:52.599 --> 00:23:56.369
downtime is typically the greatest trade off for

482
00:23:56.810 --> 00:23:59.239
uh mines in the oil patch. Given that you are,

483
00:23:59.400 --> 00:24:01.530
you don't, you know, you're not buying from the grid.

484
00:24:01.540 --> 00:24:03.630
You're kind of dependent upon what could be

485
00:24:03.640 --> 00:24:06.030
fluctuating uh production on the well side.

486
00:24:06.040 --> 00:24:07.989
Basically the idea being that the downtime

487
00:24:08.000 --> 00:24:09.939
could be detrimental because your machines are

488
00:24:09.949 --> 00:24:11.189
turned off and then you have no

489
00:24:11.199 --> 00:24:13.550
apparatus for actually keeping the heat circulating.

490
00:24:13.560 --> 00:24:14.630
Exactly.

491
00:24:15.270 --> 00:24:19.560
Yeah, I wonder, I wonder if they're talking to our boys upstream data.

492
00:24:19.569 --> 00:24:21.510
I wonder if that's the containers that they're going to use.

493
00:24:22.109 --> 00:24:23.650
That's probably what I would use.

494
00:24:23.660 --> 00:24:26.959
Those are tried and tested, not an endorsement, but, uh, I also,

495
00:24:26.969 --> 00:24:28.520
we all like Steve and so,

496
00:24:28.989 --> 00:24:29.349
um,

497
00:24:30.060 --> 00:24:33.609
yeah, he's got good containers for cold weather environment. So we'll see,

498
00:24:34.660 --> 00:24:35.900
Matt. Do you have anything to add?

499
00:24:36.930 --> 00:24:40.869
No, well covered? I mean, a lot of oil up in Alaska. So maybe it sets a trend.

500
00:24:41.660 --> 00:24:42.680
We'll see it be interesting.

501
00:24:43.189 --> 00:24:44.000
Be pretty cool.

502
00:24:44.270 --> 00:24:45.920
I think one of the things is that it's,

503
00:24:45.930 --> 00:24:47.780
it's been like a dirty little secret that

504
00:24:47.790 --> 00:24:50.640
some of these majors have been trialing this,

505
00:24:50.650 --> 00:24:53.000
but they did not want to be public about it.

506
00:24:53.560 --> 00:24:56.680
And it's not clear whether Hill Corp wants this to be public,

507
00:24:56.689 --> 00:24:58.479
but this is a public filing

508
00:24:58.770 --> 00:25:01.270
and so this is a clear public.

509
00:25:01.280 --> 00:25:04.270
We got the numbers, we got the dates, we have details about it.

510
00:25:04.619 --> 00:25:06.130
That's significant. I think

511
00:25:06.260 --> 00:25:08.479
on that note, I wonder if now that,

512
00:25:09.079 --> 00:25:11.430
you know, with the prospect of a Trump presidency

513
00:25:11.810 --> 00:25:17.189
um in an all Republican House and Senate with a lot of crypto friendly legislatures,

514
00:25:17.660 --> 00:25:18.930
um legislators,

515
00:25:19.400 --> 00:25:23.290
I wonder if you'll see more things like this coming out of the woodwork of,

516
00:25:23.300 --> 00:25:26.040
of companies that were, you know, behind the scenes,

517
00:25:26.050 --> 00:25:30.229
operating these things or standing up pilots being little less shy,

518
00:25:30.569 --> 00:25:33.900
you know, a little less diffident on their stances on Bitcoin

519
00:25:34.150 --> 00:25:35.910
and coming out and saying, yeah,

520
00:25:35.920 --> 00:25:39.989
like we've been doing this because the stigma is like quickly evaporating

521
00:25:40.540 --> 00:25:45.069
Um I think especially with this recent price run up, there's, there's gonna be

522
00:25:45.280 --> 00:25:46.719
much less reason

523
00:25:47.890 --> 00:25:48.709
uh to

524
00:25:48.930 --> 00:25:49.760
be, you know,

525
00:25:49.770 --> 00:25:53.510
kind of reserved about these things or even be openly hostile against it.

526
00:25:53.520 --> 00:25:54.030
So

527
00:25:54.239 --> 00:25:57.430
drill, baby drill and mine, baby mine drill, baby drill,

528
00:25:57.439 --> 00:25:59.420
mine baby mine nuke baby nuke.

529
00:25:59.430 --> 00:26:01.589
We are energy maximalist here

530
00:26:01.859 --> 00:26:03.030
on the mining pod.

531
00:26:03.709 --> 00:26:05.030
Speaking of energy

532
00:26:05.839 --> 00:26:07.459
A I is still coming

533
00:26:07.619 --> 00:26:09.609
and we're gonna need a lot of it.

534
00:26:09.760 --> 00:26:12.859
Um This is a Yahoo finance article

535
00:26:12.989 --> 00:26:15.099
um from one Akiko Fujita

536
00:26:15.640 --> 00:26:20.010
entitled Crypto miners double down on A I hosting for more reliable cash flows.

537
00:26:20.020 --> 00:26:22.439
And the one that I wanted to highlight here because

538
00:26:22.449 --> 00:26:24.199
I don't think that we covered this on past shows.

539
00:26:24.209 --> 00:26:27.849
And if we did, I'm sorry, then my memory is already failing me and that's,

540
00:26:27.859 --> 00:26:28.859
that's troubling,

541
00:26:29.209 --> 00:26:30.829
but Galaxy Digital

542
00:26:31.189 --> 00:26:34.369
is kicking Argo out of the Helios facility that

543
00:26:34.380 --> 00:26:37.390
they actually purchased from Argo during a bankruptcy proceeding.

544
00:26:37.640 --> 00:26:40.969
And Argo then used for hosting its machines with a Galaxy.

545
00:26:41.109 --> 00:26:43.349
They're kicking Argo out and they are going to

546
00:26:44.199 --> 00:26:49.199
transform that into an A I and H BC data center. All a core scientific

547
00:26:49.410 --> 00:26:53.069
um interesting development of probably one of the bigger Bitcoin.

548
00:26:53.079 --> 00:26:55.599
Definitely one of the bigger Bitcoin miners to come out in

549
00:26:55.609 --> 00:26:58.760
public companies come out recently announcing an A I pivot.

550
00:26:58.939 --> 00:27:01.739
Uh Mike Novogratz Galaxy Digital CEO said it

551
00:27:01.750 --> 00:27:03.770
makes it a better investment than Bitcoin.

552
00:27:03.780 --> 00:27:05.699
Uh It makes it a better investment than Bitcoin,

553
00:27:05.709 --> 00:27:08.349
certainly over 34 or five year horizon.

554
00:27:08.619 --> 00:27:11.209
Um, the data center play looks a lot more profitable.

555
00:27:11.219 --> 00:27:12.560
We've heard this time and time again.

556
00:27:12.849 --> 00:27:15.930
Uh Bitcoin, mining margins are thin and ever dwindling

557
00:27:16.089 --> 00:27:20.709
and A I and H BC margins are potentially very fat if you skin the cat properly.

558
00:27:21.010 --> 00:27:24.869
Uh One other thing that I wanted to point out here that I thought was interesting.

559
00:27:25.699 --> 00:27:28.510
Those comments from Jason last, the CEO of Riot Platforms.

560
00:27:28.640 --> 00:27:30.060
I don't know if this is from

561
00:27:30.339 --> 00:27:34.359
uh a quote that he gave the Yahoo Finance or if this was from their earnings call.

562
00:27:34.550 --> 00:27:38.140
But um he said that they have received multiple inquiries from

563
00:27:38.150 --> 00:27:40.810
blue chip A I companies looking to secure large scale power,

564
00:27:40.859 --> 00:27:42.609
large scale power capacity.

565
00:27:42.790 --> 00:27:43.599
In most cases,

566
00:27:43.609 --> 00:27:45.280
the tech companies have offered to cover the

567
00:27:45.290 --> 00:27:48.819
capital costs involved with retrofitting existing facilities.

568
00:27:49.020 --> 00:27:53.130
Uh Echoing what Novogratz said, it's consistent and reliable cash flow,

569
00:27:53.469 --> 00:27:55.380
uh cash flow that is not subject to the

570
00:27:55.390 --> 00:27:58.449
volatility of Bitcoin like the rest of our business,

571
00:27:58.500 --> 00:28:02.189
uh less said in whatever interview they're drawing from there.

572
00:28:02.329 --> 00:28:04.689
So a few things from this that I find interesting

573
00:28:04.859 --> 00:28:09.170
uh riot has not indicated that they are necessarily interested

574
00:28:09.180 --> 00:28:11.920
in an A I pivot or an H BC pivot.

575
00:28:11.930 --> 00:28:14.959
They have not said that they are entertaining any of these offers.

576
00:28:15.020 --> 00:28:16.449
They've been very quiet

577
00:28:16.849 --> 00:28:19.609
on the A I front not really making

578
00:28:20.150 --> 00:28:21.569
one stance one way or the other.

579
00:28:21.579 --> 00:28:24.550
They haven't been like clean spark where Zachary Bradford is like,

580
00:28:24.599 --> 00:28:25.550
we're not doing this.

581
00:28:25.560 --> 00:28:28.069
We're gonna stay Bitcoin mining, stop talking about it.

582
00:28:28.520 --> 00:28:30.089
But they also haven't been

583
00:28:30.520 --> 00:28:34.089
like core scientifics team where they're like, we're an A IH BC company now,

584
00:28:34.099 --> 00:28:36.130
we don't even consider ourselves a Bitcoin mining company.

585
00:28:36.560 --> 00:28:37.839
Uh The other thing too,

586
00:28:38.420 --> 00:28:41.800
we had Reggie Smith on the mining pod for this week's show.

587
00:28:42.270 --> 00:28:44.819
And one of the things that he mentioned in one of his most

588
00:28:44.829 --> 00:28:47.060
recent reports was that he believes that

589
00:28:47.069 --> 00:28:50.810
Riot is probably the juiciest untapped opportunity

590
00:28:51.030 --> 00:28:52.319
for a

591
00:28:52.790 --> 00:28:55.589
acquisition from a hyper scale or H BC company

592
00:28:55.939 --> 00:28:59.329
because Riot has this massive power pipeline with Corsicana.

593
00:28:59.630 --> 00:29:01.579
They're trying to scale it up to a gigawatt.

594
00:29:01.859 --> 00:29:04.050
They have all of the PPAS in place for this.

595
00:29:04.060 --> 00:29:06.199
They've done all of the paperwork and rubber stamping

596
00:29:06.209 --> 00:29:08.250
and they're just building out the capacity currently.

597
00:29:08.609 --> 00:29:13.310
So the idea being that a hyper scalar could come in, purchase that facility

598
00:29:13.479 --> 00:29:17.359
and then just Greenfield the center or retrofit with what you know,

599
00:29:17.439 --> 00:29:18.989
what is currently been in place.

600
00:29:19.000 --> 00:29:19.469
I think,

601
00:29:19.719 --> 00:29:21.770
I think uh Riot stood up like

602
00:29:21.910 --> 00:29:25.670
300 megawatts or so I could be wrong about the total figure, but they've,

603
00:29:25.680 --> 00:29:29.400
they've stood up at least one phase of Corsicana with immersion cooling.

604
00:29:29.780 --> 00:29:30.819
So anyway, uh

605
00:29:31.000 --> 00:29:33.530
those are just the takeaways from that article for me

606
00:29:33.680 --> 00:29:37.510
curious to see if what Eugen think if you have any color to add.

607
00:29:38.130 --> 00:29:39.890
I this is to be expected.

608
00:29:40.040 --> 00:29:43.900
Mining is hard. People are thinking that they could ro i quicker with a I,

609
00:29:44.640 --> 00:29:47.060
you know, that's, it's happening time and time again.

610
00:29:47.260 --> 00:29:52.589
I would love to see um companies stick to a uh a

611
00:29:52.790 --> 00:29:54.000
Bitcoin mining

612
00:29:54.329 --> 00:29:57.300
exclusive strategy, pure play strategy.

613
00:29:57.640 --> 00:29:59.819
Um I think if the entire industry

614
00:29:59.989 --> 00:30:02.969
does this flex uh model, then

615
00:30:03.410 --> 00:30:05.020
I'd get a little worried.

616
00:30:05.030 --> 00:30:08.540
But um we still got some good pure play mining options out there.

617
00:30:08.969 --> 00:30:11.849
There's an interesting kind of game theoretical concern here

618
00:30:11.859 --> 00:30:14.589
where it's almost like uh a game of chicken

619
00:30:15.020 --> 00:30:15.810
where

620
00:30:15.989 --> 00:30:18.109
all of these miners are saying we're gonna pivot

621
00:30:18.119 --> 00:30:20.010
to H BC because the margins are fatter.

622
00:30:20.020 --> 00:30:21.469
And if enough of them do that,

623
00:30:21.780 --> 00:30:24.920
some of them are gonna fail and fail spectacularly

624
00:30:25.040 --> 00:30:27.839
and they're going to be out of the game entirely including mining.

625
00:30:28.219 --> 00:30:30.390
So for like the clean sparks of the world or the

626
00:30:30.400 --> 00:30:33.770
marathons who have said we're not really interested in doing this.

627
00:30:33.780 --> 00:30:34.869
We're Bitcoin miners,

628
00:30:35.500 --> 00:30:38.280
they have a lot to gain. If some of their

629
00:30:38.579 --> 00:30:39.959
biggest competition

630
00:30:40.300 --> 00:30:41.280
ends up pivoting,

631
00:30:41.500 --> 00:30:44.760
then they have like all of the market share for hash rate.

632
00:30:44.770 --> 00:30:48.829
They're gonna get a lot of the investor share as well. Um Their stocks should

633
00:30:49.160 --> 00:30:52.510
profit accordingly because they become the only games in town.

634
00:30:52.520 --> 00:30:56.060
I mean, like core scientific is kind of already making the pivot, right?

635
00:30:56.069 --> 00:30:59.109
Like we can almost assume that they like I I in 10 years,

636
00:30:59.119 --> 00:31:01.680
I would be kind of shocked if they had much hash rate at all.

637
00:31:02.109 --> 00:31:04.310
If if riot also does it and I'm not saying

638
00:31:04.319 --> 00:31:06.890
they are because they haven't indicated that they will.

639
00:31:07.060 --> 00:31:10.310
But if Riot somehow gets purchased by a hyper scaler,

640
00:31:10.510 --> 00:31:12.290
then you basically have marathon and clean

641
00:31:12.310 --> 00:31:15.530
spark as like the two largest Bitcoin farms

642
00:31:15.750 --> 00:31:17.119
and bit farms.

643
00:31:17.130 --> 00:31:17.489
But I mean,

644
00:31:17.500 --> 00:31:19.530
in terms of like cash rate scale like clean spark and

645
00:31:19.540 --> 00:31:23.479
marathon are kind of in a league of their own alongside

646
00:31:23.760 --> 00:31:27.599
um Riot and, and cos I and in terms of scale,

647
00:31:28.489 --> 00:31:30.969
I mean, they both have 30 extra hashes under management.

648
00:31:30.979 --> 00:31:33.189
It's just an insane number, right?

649
00:31:33.709 --> 00:31:34.729
And if

650
00:31:35.439 --> 00:31:39.270
it almost becomes a winner, take all at that point for the hash rate race, right?

651
00:31:39.489 --> 00:31:41.910
Because if you have all these miners pivoting the H BC,

652
00:31:42.229 --> 00:31:45.839
then you bring more to the table. I mean, the market's already super saturated with,

653
00:31:46.040 --> 00:31:49.989
I don't know much about a about A I and HPC. But

654
00:31:50.199 --> 00:31:51.510
um you have a

655
00:31:51.709 --> 00:31:54.430
hot market with a ton of money trying to get in

656
00:31:54.550 --> 00:31:59.569
with long lead times to have and have structural barriers to building out

657
00:31:59.890 --> 00:32:01.969
the said infrastructure on the timeline that

658
00:32:01.979 --> 00:32:04.869
you want everybody expecting crazy outside returns.

659
00:32:05.339 --> 00:32:07.920
This sounds like Bitcoin mining in 2021.

660
00:32:08.589 --> 00:32:09.469
And

661
00:32:09.670 --> 00:32:11.160
uh so

662
00:32:11.579 --> 00:32:12.650
I just,

663
00:32:13.189 --> 00:32:15.310
but I would say even more fraught with uncertainty

664
00:32:15.319 --> 00:32:18.050
because I think Matt pointed this out last week.

665
00:32:18.060 --> 00:32:22.170
It's like you have to establish Biz DEV pipelines to sell your compute

666
00:32:22.900 --> 00:32:23.199
this.

667
00:32:23.420 --> 00:32:24.010
You know,

668
00:32:24.290 --> 00:32:29.089
this is not Bitcoin mining where you just, you know, let them rip point to a pool or,

669
00:32:29.099 --> 00:32:30.310
or, or solo mine.

670
00:32:30.319 --> 00:32:33.160
Like you've got to find a buyer for your compute.

671
00:32:33.680 --> 00:32:34.729
And, you know,

672
00:32:35.459 --> 00:32:36.040
anyway,

673
00:32:36.400 --> 00:32:38.339
maybe, maybe the

674
00:32:38.709 --> 00:32:44.079
massive on grid scaling to a bajillion hash rate.

675
00:32:44.300 --> 00:32:45.310
And uh

676
00:32:45.420 --> 00:32:46.439
megawatt

677
00:32:46.760 --> 00:32:49.630
mining phenomenon is a temporary thing in the

678
00:32:49.750 --> 00:32:51.079
history of Bitcoin.

679
00:32:51.609 --> 00:32:52.839
We will see

680
00:32:52.939 --> 00:32:53.660
um

681
00:32:53.849 --> 00:32:55.640
analysts quote

682
00:32:55.839 --> 00:33:01.089
that Reuters cited in a recent article. Uh they, I did did not name these analysts.

683
00:33:01.099 --> 00:33:03.589
I feel like that's kind of like the experts say. But anyway,

684
00:33:03.890 --> 00:33:05.630
they Reuters said that they,

685
00:33:05.640 --> 00:33:09.189
that these analysts expect like 20% of the current mining capacity

686
00:33:09.199 --> 00:33:11.739
in the US to pivot to H BC by 2027.

687
00:33:12.390 --> 00:33:13.260
I could see that

688
00:33:13.699 --> 00:33:16.109
I can see that good. Is that a good idea?

689
00:33:16.359 --> 00:33:17.329
Undecided

690
00:33:17.520 --> 00:33:19.380
time will tell

691
00:33:21.900 --> 00:33:24.189
in the competitive world of Bitcoin mining.

692
00:33:24.199 --> 00:33:28.520
One name stands out clean Spark, America's Bitcoin miner

693
00:33:29.209 --> 00:33:33.310
at clean spark efficiency isn't just a goal. It's our standard.

694
00:33:34.260 --> 00:33:38.239
Our sophisticated facilities are built and led by expert teams

695
00:33:38.250 --> 00:33:41.359
who care about Bitcoin and the communities we work in

696
00:33:42.699 --> 00:33:43.900
scale.

697
00:33:44.420 --> 00:33:45.530
We've mastered it. Our

698
00:33:45.760 --> 00:33:48.660
large scale operations have set us apart in

699
00:33:48.670 --> 00:33:52.119
the industry as examples of community oriented building.

700
00:33:53.140 --> 00:33:55.400
Our track record speaks for itself.

701
00:33:55.410 --> 00:33:59.920
We navigate the complexities of the new economy with precision and with skill,

702
00:33:59.930 --> 00:34:03.199
continuously achieving operational milestones.

703
00:34:04.369 --> 00:34:06.219
Curious about how we do it.

704
00:34:06.510 --> 00:34:10.260
We invite you to discover the story behind Queen Spark success

705
00:34:10.520 --> 00:34:12.040
at Clean spark.com.

706
00:34:12.580 --> 00:34:19.699
Next story involves um a tale as old as time in terms of market greed

707
00:34:20.330 --> 00:34:23.800
4.6 billion in outstanding shorts against the public.

708
00:34:23.810 --> 00:34:25.649
Bitcoin mining stock universe

709
00:34:26.129 --> 00:34:26.760
Charlie.

710
00:34:27.908 --> 00:34:27.928
I

711
00:34:28.059 --> 00:34:28.809
mean, I don't,

712
00:34:29.059 --> 00:34:33.329
yeah, I don't know if there's a whole lot additional to say but

713
00:34:33.447 --> 00:34:35.998
there are shorts piling up against Bitcoin miners.

714
00:34:36.339 --> 00:34:40.208
This makes sense. Bitcoin miners sometimes don't follow Bitcoin

715
00:34:40.608 --> 00:34:45.809
but it's to the tune of uh 4.6 billion increase 50% in the last 30 days

716
00:34:45.938 --> 00:34:47.618
according to research firm,

717
00:34:48.108 --> 00:34:51.967
uh S3 partners at the high of the year.

718
00:34:52.368 --> 00:34:53.089
Um

719
00:34:54.110 --> 00:34:58.270
The this particular piece also points out the obvious which is, this is risky.

720
00:34:58.350 --> 00:34:59.580
Bitcoin continues to go up.

721
00:34:59.590 --> 00:35:03.030
These miners probably go up and you get a squeeze on these shorts

722
00:35:03.340 --> 00:35:06.080
and then it tends to be reflexive on the upside. So,

723
00:35:06.330 --> 00:35:06.899
I mean,

724
00:35:07.469 --> 00:35:11.550
uh it doesn't matter how many times we, we have this conversation,

725
00:35:11.770 --> 00:35:15.340
you generally don't want to short anything related to crypto.

726
00:35:15.689 --> 00:35:18.870
Um This is kind of a longs business

727
00:35:19.189 --> 00:35:22.010
and shorts uh consistently get blown out.

728
00:35:22.020 --> 00:35:24.949
Um doesn't mean that it won't work but like,

729
00:35:25.570 --> 00:35:28.570
I don't know why you would be shorting.

730
00:35:28.600 --> 00:35:31.270
There's too many great stories which demonstrate that

731
00:35:31.280 --> 00:35:32.689
you should not have shorted these things.

732
00:35:32.959 --> 00:35:36.699
Yeah, I just, you know, to me, it's like picking up pennies in front of a Steamroller.

733
00:35:36.709 --> 00:35:37.330
It's like,

734
00:35:37.969 --> 00:35:39.629
uh I don't know who these people are,

735
00:35:39.639 --> 00:35:42.699
but I guess they're kind of assuming market fundamentals will change

736
00:35:42.709 --> 00:35:45.550
maybe or they think the A I rabbit will change this

737
00:35:45.719 --> 00:35:48.050
as pe as investors continue to chase that. But

738
00:35:48.350 --> 00:35:49.750
if Bitcoin is ripping

739
00:35:51.080 --> 00:35:54.500
Bitcoin mining stocks rip like this is not rocket science,

740
00:35:54.949 --> 00:35:56.739
they're proxies to Bitcoin.

741
00:35:57.030 --> 00:35:58.939
Um Their high beta plays to Bitcoin.

742
00:35:58.949 --> 00:36:01.800
They function similarly to other commodities producers

743
00:36:01.810 --> 00:36:04.050
like gold miners or oil producers.

744
00:36:04.090 --> 00:36:06.479
If the underlying commodity is going up in price,

745
00:36:06.739 --> 00:36:09.419
the market reacts and bids up these stocks.

746
00:36:09.729 --> 00:36:10.260
Um,

747
00:36:11.030 --> 00:36:14.860
so unless Bitcoin takes a sharp downturn and the bull market ends early,

748
00:36:14.870 --> 00:36:16.760
I would be surprised whether or not

749
00:36:17.000 --> 00:36:21.620
that the, that this, you know, ends up being fruitful for these people, but

750
00:36:22.050 --> 00:36:23.419
more power to them, I guess.

751
00:36:23.850 --> 00:36:24.459
Ok.

752
00:36:25.219 --> 00:36:27.040
Are we ready for the cry corner? Gentlemen,

753
00:36:27.399 --> 00:36:28.399
I've been ready for

754
00:36:28.659 --> 00:36:28.669
a

755
00:36:29.209 --> 00:36:29.300
roll.

756
00:36:31.560 --> 00:36:32.189
Um,

757
00:36:32.649 --> 00:36:35.459
Matt take it away on this one. The biggest news.

758
00:36:35.469 --> 00:36:39.010
Do you hit the crypto industry in a hot minute in a way,

759
00:36:39.770 --> 00:36:40.939
Gary Ginzler

760
00:36:41.270 --> 00:36:42.469
from the horse's mouth?

761
00:36:42.979 --> 00:36:43.669
Dang

762
00:36:43.919 --> 00:36:45.899
from his official Twitter. I,

763
00:36:46.959 --> 00:36:47.830
excuse me,

764
00:36:47.959 --> 00:36:49.060
I was, uh,

765
00:36:49.770 --> 00:36:52.229
I'm kind of in the dark. This, this happened just

766
00:36:52.550 --> 00:36:54.370
at the time. We're recording just a couple of hours ago.

767
00:36:54.449 --> 00:36:57.310
So I heard the news but I did not know how it was coming out.

768
00:36:58.250 --> 00:37:04.110
So he gives the exact date quote on January 2020 January 20th, 2025.

769
00:37:04.120 --> 00:37:07.310
It will be stepping down as sec chair.

770
00:37:07.550 --> 00:37:08.909
He goes on to write a thread.

771
00:37:08.919 --> 00:37:10.629
I don't know if you guys have more color on the thread,

772
00:37:10.639 --> 00:37:12.479
but I guess I'll just say before we get to that,

773
00:37:12.610 --> 00:37:13.189
I mean,

774
00:37:13.649 --> 00:37:19.090
this is something that I think across the, the crypto industry as a whole.

775
00:37:19.219 --> 00:37:20.030
Um

776
00:37:20.879 --> 00:37:25.979
investors users alike are jumping up and down clapping for.

777
00:37:25.989 --> 00:37:28.959
Um I mean, it's, it's been no secret that

778
00:37:29.939 --> 00:37:31.600
Gary Ginzler has not

779
00:37:31.709 --> 00:37:37.560
been uh very clear in his posturing and, and guidance um

780
00:37:38.260 --> 00:37:41.199
from the SEC on, on crypto assets

781
00:37:41.419 --> 00:37:44.290
and the amount of enforcement actions that have come from the sec

782
00:37:44.489 --> 00:37:46.120
against the industry at large

783
00:37:46.320 --> 00:37:49.000
uh has mounted throughout the Biden administration.

784
00:37:49.379 --> 00:37:50.739
Um And so

785
00:37:51.560 --> 00:37:55.379
I think uh people are gonna be pretty excited about this, interested to see who

786
00:37:55.489 --> 00:37:59.260
is appointed. Uh I believe that's something

787
00:37:59.560 --> 00:38:00.379
that

788
00:38:00.600 --> 00:38:04.659
the Trump administration will do and then Congress

789
00:38:04.899 --> 00:38:07.879
will vet and approve. Um

790
00:38:07.989 --> 00:38:08.820
if I,

791
00:38:10.270 --> 00:38:13.159
if I have my processes straight but uh someone,

792
00:38:13.169 --> 00:38:14.830
someone can correct me in the comments.

793
00:38:14.989 --> 00:38:17.040
Um What, what do you guys think about this?

794
00:38:18.100 --> 00:38:19.209
Fir first of all,

795
00:38:19.219 --> 00:38:22.500
I think that everyone should go to this thread and just look at some of the comments.

796
00:38:22.510 --> 00:38:24.489
I, I just want to highlight a few of them here.

797
00:38:24.659 --> 00:38:27.399
Uh Lawrence, you know, a well known crypto

798
00:38:27.500 --> 00:38:30.560
Twitter troll fries in the bag, little bro.

799
00:38:31.310 --> 00:38:35.790
Um Some more on the nose ones that are a little less sophisticated, like uh you know,

800
00:38:35.800 --> 00:38:38.370
a Photoshop face of Gary Ginzler on a clown

801
00:38:38.629 --> 00:38:39.810
kind of terrifying.

802
00:38:40.300 --> 00:38:45.239
Um Eric Voorhees chiming in but who will protect the investors Elon Musk saying,

803
00:38:45.250 --> 00:38:49.229
is it true that the SEC only works one day a month in the office.

804
00:38:49.239 --> 00:38:54.820
Um, some other ones that we won't necessarily say over air, but you can go read them.

805
00:38:55.080 --> 00:38:59.169
Um, pretty, pretty incredible, uh, Twitter thread

806
00:38:59.530 --> 00:39:01.000
a few things to note.

807
00:39:01.810 --> 00:39:03.949
This is funny because he's getting ahead of the fact

808
00:39:03.959 --> 00:39:05.280
that he knows that he's going to be fired.

809
00:39:05.290 --> 00:39:06.520
Like this is a way for him to stay.

810
00:39:06.830 --> 00:39:08.350
This is the inauguration day.

811
00:39:08.820 --> 00:39:09.500
Yeah, there's Li

812
00:39:09.679 --> 00:39:10.399
Jan. Exactly.

813
00:39:10.409 --> 00:39:14.929
January 20th is the, the, the uh day of will be the day of Trump's inauguration.

814
00:39:14.939 --> 00:39:18.199
He said at the Bitcoin conference that on day one, he's gonna fire Gary

815
00:39:18.310 --> 00:39:18.810
Ginzler.

816
00:39:19.379 --> 00:39:20.919
Um There were some,

817
00:39:21.360 --> 00:39:23.030
you don't fire me. I quit.

818
00:39:23.290 --> 00:39:23.489
That's

819
00:39:24.959 --> 00:39:29.620
exactly. And to Matt's point, we don't know exactly who will

820
00:39:30.010 --> 00:39:32.679
uh B Trump's sec appointment.

821
00:39:32.929 --> 00:39:35.600
Uh, uh, some names have been floated like Dan Gallagher,

822
00:39:35.610 --> 00:39:37.729
Robin Hood's chief legal officer,

823
00:39:37.889 --> 00:39:43.750
um SEC Commissioner Paul Atkins, um Jay Clayton who served previously

824
00:39:43.989 --> 00:39:48.899
um in the, in the SEC under Trump's last administration and uh Richard Farley,

825
00:39:49.320 --> 00:39:53.989
um to BD TBD who's gonna replace him, but just kind of

826
00:39:54.540 --> 00:39:56.090
echo what Matt said, um,

827
00:39:56.100 --> 00:39:59.270
a moment of rejoicing for the entire crypto industry with this one.

828
00:39:59.429 --> 00:40:03.989
It's about time. I mean, I think back to when Trump spoke at Bitcoin

829
00:40:04.159 --> 00:40:06.750
conference in Nashville in July

830
00:40:06.879 --> 00:40:12.729
where he's kind of doing his normal, uh bit of the people he doesn't like and it's,

831
00:40:12.780 --> 00:40:14.550
it's got mixed reactions in the crowd.

832
00:40:14.560 --> 00:40:15.300
And then he says,

833
00:40:15.550 --> 00:40:17.379
and on day one of our, uh,

834
00:40:17.389 --> 00:40:22.270
Gary Ginzler got almost like tossing that out and the crowd roared

835
00:40:22.590 --> 00:40:25.949
and it, um, it clicked in his head that, oh, wow,

836
00:40:25.959 --> 00:40:28.219
this is the talking point that resonates with these people.

837
00:40:28.560 --> 00:40:31.860
I don't know how related that specific moment is,

838
00:40:32.010 --> 00:40:35.050
but that was like probably the clearest signal, I think,

839
00:40:35.449 --> 00:40:36.090
um,

840
00:40:36.429 --> 00:40:40.370
the, the Bitcoin crowd and broader crypto crowd could give

841
00:40:40.590 --> 00:40:45.080
to the future key decision maker for the nation about their

842
00:40:45.320 --> 00:40:47.530
uh what they care about. So

843
00:40:47.889 --> 00:40:49.919
there was like a triumvirate of

844
00:40:50.560 --> 00:40:53.929
policy points or at least campaign talking points.

845
00:40:53.939 --> 00:40:56.459
I think that really resonated with the Bitcoin crowd.

846
00:40:56.469 --> 00:40:59.620
It was free, Ross fire, Gary Ginzler

847
00:40:59.810 --> 00:41:02.379
and it was Bitcoin Strategic Reserve.

848
00:41:02.389 --> 00:41:02.739
Now,

849
00:41:02.750 --> 00:41:04.689
some people are going to bristle at that last one

850
00:41:04.699 --> 00:41:06.959
because I do think that there is kind of a schism

851
00:41:06.969 --> 00:41:10.979
within the Bitcoin industry or sorry Bitcoin community or just people

852
00:41:10.989 --> 00:41:13.050
who follow it as to whether or not that's good.

853
00:41:13.310 --> 00:41:16.239
But I feel like those were three things specifically

854
00:41:16.479 --> 00:41:19.050
at the Bitcoin 2024 talk that Trump gave

855
00:41:19.159 --> 00:41:19.629
that,

856
00:41:20.389 --> 00:41:23.479
you know, inspired raucous applause.

857
00:41:24.620 --> 00:41:27.820
Gentlemen. Any final thoughts before we sign off for the week

858
00:41:28.030 --> 00:41:33.090
100 K baby. Uh We've been doing this all three of us.

859
00:41:33.100 --> 00:41:34.620
If you, you all, you can look me,

860
00:41:34.629 --> 00:41:36.770
Matt and Con have all been in this

861
00:41:36.780 --> 00:41:40.120
business suffered through uh multiple bulls and bears.

862
00:41:40.159 --> 00:41:43.129
We've eaten a lot of shit and we're finally ready to eat some caviar.

863
00:41:43.340 --> 00:41:45.360
So we'll see you guys at 100 K

864
00:41:46.750 --> 00:41:48.169
Matt. Final thoughts.

865
00:41:49.929 --> 00:41:54.050
Yeah, I mean, you gotta enjoy the, enjoy the bull markets.

866
00:41:54.229 --> 00:41:55.070
So

867
00:41:55.669 --> 00:41:59.850
everyone should, uh, this is, this is the time, this is the time to

868
00:42:00.750 --> 00:42:03.850
eat cookies and bring it up to everyone who told you you were wrong.

869
00:42:04.459 --> 00:42:04.639
Yeah.

870
00:42:04.649 --> 00:42:10.540
And you know, um the, uh, the favorite holiday for that is coming up Thanksgiving.

871
00:42:10.939 --> 00:42:15.010
You know, so to all of our US listeners, uh, we wish you a very happy Thanksgiving.

872
00:42:15.020 --> 00:42:17.189
I hope that you get to spend uh plenty of

873
00:42:17.199 --> 00:42:19.510
time with friends and family and you get to dunk

874
00:42:19.520 --> 00:42:21.550
on that one uncle who told you that he can't

875
00:42:21.560 --> 00:42:24.870
buy clothes with Bitcoin or something or that you can't eat

876
00:42:25.310 --> 00:42:25.389
it.

877
00:42:25.550 --> 00:42:27.919
You still can't buy clothes with it, but you can't buy

878
00:42:28.379 --> 00:42:28.590
with it

879
00:42:28.939 --> 00:42:31.750
and you still can't eat it, but you can buy caviar

880
00:42:31.879 --> 00:42:32.229
with it.

881
00:42:32.239 --> 00:42:34.979
And with that, we wish y'all um to our, again,

882
00:42:34.989 --> 00:42:36.860
our US listeners a very happy Thanksgiving.

883
00:42:36.870 --> 00:42:40.750
We will, I believe we will be taking next week off for this show.

884
00:42:40.760 --> 00:42:43.459
So we will see you the following week.

885
00:42:43.560 --> 00:42:46.120
Hope everyone has a beautiful weekend

886
00:42:46.570 --> 00:42:49.810
and enjoy 100 K. Y'all deserve it. Take it easy, everyone.