1 00:00:00,110 --> 00:00:01,590 - Isn't the system we use 2 00:00:01,590 --> 00:00:05,180 to nominate Presidential candidates broken? 3 00:00:05,180 --> 00:00:08,320 It's safe to say that the 2020 Iowa Caucus 4 00:00:08,320 --> 00:00:11,320 was the very definition of a hot mess. 5 00:00:11,320 --> 00:00:14,240 It was certainly the most contentious Iowa Caucus 6 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:17,800 since the 2016 Iowa Caucus. 7 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:19,680 Every Primary Election cycle, 8 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:23,010 we revisit the same conversations about reform. 9 00:00:23,010 --> 00:00:24,830 Should Caucuses be scrapped? 10 00:00:24,830 --> 00:00:26,730 Should Primaries be reordered? 11 00:00:26,730 --> 00:00:29,163 Should Primaries even exist? 12 00:00:30,208 --> 00:00:31,680 (bright music) 13 00:00:31,680 --> 00:00:34,150 What's so special about Iowa and New Hampshire, 14 00:00:34,150 --> 00:00:36,360 that they always get to go first? 15 00:00:36,360 --> 00:00:39,420 Bare in mind, these largely white, rural states 16 00:00:39,420 --> 00:00:41,130 are simply not representative 17 00:00:41,130 --> 00:00:44,360 of the Democratic party or of America. 18 00:00:44,360 --> 00:00:45,620 So what? 19 00:00:45,620 --> 00:00:49,320 Well, these voters have outsized power in the process. 20 00:00:49,320 --> 00:00:52,340 They determine which candidates deserve a closer look. 21 00:00:52,340 --> 00:00:56,180 They say sayonara to losers and they narrow the field. 22 00:00:56,180 --> 00:00:58,980 Votes casted by Iowans and New Hampshirites 23 00:00:58,980 --> 00:01:02,970 may have five times more impact than all others. 24 00:01:02,970 --> 00:01:05,400 Why is this bizarre system in place? 25 00:01:05,400 --> 00:01:07,040 Well, it wasn't always. 26 00:01:07,040 --> 00:01:08,900 At the turn of the 20th Century, 27 00:01:08,900 --> 00:01:11,670 states started implementing State Primaries 28 00:01:11,670 --> 00:01:13,700 to gage the opinions of voters, 29 00:01:13,700 --> 00:01:15,290 but they were largely symbolic 30 00:01:15,290 --> 00:01:18,020 because party leaders still have the final say. 31 00:01:18,020 --> 00:01:22,430 Then came chaos at the 1968 Democratic convention 32 00:01:22,430 --> 00:01:24,870 when Hubert Humphrey secured the nomination 33 00:01:24,870 --> 00:01:27,120 without a single Primary vote. 34 00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:30,770 After he lost to Nixon, Democratic voters were indignant, 35 00:01:30,770 --> 00:01:32,890 and so the party reluctantly yielded 36 00:01:32,890 --> 00:01:35,210 some elective power to the people. 37 00:01:35,210 --> 00:01:38,930 They instated binding Primaries and Caucuses nationwide, 38 00:01:38,930 --> 00:01:41,310 and the Republicans soon followed suit. 39 00:01:41,310 --> 00:01:44,920 Iowa's Caucus process was so much more complex than others 40 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:47,470 that they'd need more time to process the vote, 41 00:01:47,470 --> 00:01:49,040 so they moved it to January. 42 00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:52,850 Ever since, Iowa has had first in the nation privilege. 43 00:01:52,850 --> 00:01:54,270 It's written in their state laws 44 00:01:54,270 --> 00:01:57,070 that Iowa and New Hampshire must come first. 45 00:01:57,070 --> 00:01:59,320 The DNC protects their positions. 46 00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:01,450 If the DNC can do that, 47 00:02:01,450 --> 00:02:04,940 surely it can command more significant changes? 48 00:02:04,940 --> 00:02:07,840 Illinois is often touted as an ideal starter 49 00:02:07,840 --> 00:02:10,580 with it's diversity and urban rural divide, 50 00:02:10,580 --> 00:02:11,840 but it's a big state, 51 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:13,840 and that means it's harder for campaigns 52 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:15,840 to reach voters organically. 53 00:02:15,840 --> 00:02:17,500 That's pretty much the same argument 54 00:02:17,500 --> 00:02:19,200 against a National Primary. 55 00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:22,480 It's virtually impossible to make Grassroots inroads 56 00:02:22,480 --> 00:02:23,930 across 50 states. 57 00:02:23,930 --> 00:02:26,880 It's difficult enough campaigning for Super Tuesday, 58 00:02:26,880 --> 00:02:29,380 the closest thing we have to National Primary. 59 00:02:29,380 --> 00:02:32,170 It would likely favor big personalities 60 00:02:32,170 --> 00:02:34,700 and rich candidates with budgets for ads 61 00:02:34,700 --> 00:02:36,370 and stadium-sized rallies. 62 00:02:36,370 --> 00:02:39,540 Other plans include rotating the small states 63 00:02:39,540 --> 00:02:42,000 and letting all the small states go first, 64 00:02:42,000 --> 00:02:44,570 but small states tend to be less diverse, 65 00:02:44,570 --> 00:02:46,480 and so, we're back to square one. 66 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:48,340 What about increasing turnout 67 00:02:48,340 --> 00:02:50,660 to get a fuller, more accurate sample 68 00:02:50,660 --> 00:02:51,930 of the will of the people? 69 00:02:51,930 --> 00:02:54,740 Mandatory voting is, well, mandatory 70 00:02:54,740 --> 00:02:57,490 in other democracies like Australian, Belgium. 71 00:02:57,490 --> 00:03:00,610 While this would increase voter turnout to the maximum, 72 00:03:00,610 --> 00:03:04,310 you may have uninformed or indifferent voters participating. 73 00:03:04,310 --> 00:03:07,580 A better route may be to make Election Day's holidays 74 00:03:07,580 --> 00:03:10,630 to allow those who are restricted or pressured by work 75 00:03:10,630 --> 00:03:13,330 to freely cast their ballots like everyone else. 76 00:03:13,330 --> 00:03:15,320 What about rank choice voting? 77 00:03:15,320 --> 00:03:16,640 Which would ensure winners 78 00:03:16,640 --> 00:03:18,310 have the approval of the majority. 79 00:03:18,310 --> 00:03:20,800 Maine will be using it for the general election, 80 00:03:20,800 --> 00:03:22,210 so we know it can be done. 81 00:03:22,210 --> 00:03:24,570 The main issue is that all these scenarios 82 00:03:24,570 --> 00:03:26,810 would need a buy-in for lots of players, 83 00:03:26,810 --> 00:03:30,100 not only the two national parties would make the rules, 84 00:03:30,100 --> 00:03:32,583 but also the states, which implement the rules. 85 00:03:33,520 --> 00:03:35,580 - Primaries are voted on 86 00:03:35,580 --> 00:03:39,290 and funded by the state legislatures, 87 00:03:39,290 --> 00:03:43,940 so in trying to shape them into some rational shape, 88 00:03:43,940 --> 00:03:47,800 you have to deal with 50 state legislatures. 89 00:03:47,800 --> 00:03:49,430 - That's Elaine Kamarck. 90 00:03:49,430 --> 00:03:51,740 She's a member of the DNC rules committee. 91 00:03:51,740 --> 00:03:54,080 She says Democratic party insiders 92 00:03:54,080 --> 00:03:57,130 are not so concerned with the changes we've discussed. 93 00:03:57,130 --> 00:03:59,520 They're increasingly favoring Primary reform 94 00:03:59,520 --> 00:04:01,150 that's much more sweeping 95 00:04:01,150 --> 00:04:02,630 and controversial 96 00:04:02,630 --> 00:04:05,750 and which is slowly gaining steam inside the machine. 97 00:04:05,750 --> 00:04:09,200 - Ultimately, we do want the voters to make the choice, 98 00:04:09,200 --> 00:04:12,930 but we also want the input from the people 99 00:04:12,930 --> 00:04:16,790 who govern with a President of the United States. 100 00:04:16,790 --> 00:04:18,580 - The proposal is this. 101 00:04:18,580 --> 00:04:21,360 Party leaders, governors and other stakeholders 102 00:04:21,360 --> 00:04:23,920 would vet candidates before they ran 103 00:04:23,920 --> 00:04:27,120 and issue them a vote of confidence or no confidence 104 00:04:27,120 --> 00:04:29,780 before voters head to the Primary polls. 105 00:04:29,780 --> 00:04:31,980 It would serve as a reality check 106 00:04:31,980 --> 00:04:34,030 to make Primaries serious again. 107 00:04:34,030 --> 00:04:37,600 - We have come in the 21st Century 108 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:42,600 into an era of celebrities getting into Primaries, 109 00:04:42,910 --> 00:04:44,940 either people who are celebrities 110 00:04:44,940 --> 00:04:47,490 or people who want to be celebrities. 111 00:04:47,490 --> 00:04:50,150 In 2012, in the Republican side, 112 00:04:50,150 --> 00:04:52,420 we saw a pizza entrepreneur. 113 00:04:52,420 --> 00:04:53,470 - Running for President, 114 00:04:53,470 --> 00:04:57,350 we also had a reality television star, he had a simple idea, 115 00:04:57,350 --> 00:05:00,100 make Mexico pay for a wall on the southern border. 116 00:05:00,100 --> 00:05:02,900 This time, we have people like Marianne Williamson, 117 00:05:02,900 --> 00:05:04,460 a spiritual guru. 118 00:05:04,460 --> 00:05:07,170 You have a nice young man named Andrew Yang 119 00:05:07,170 --> 00:05:09,030 who puts out this idea 120 00:05:09,030 --> 00:05:11,370 that he's gonna give everybody $1000 a month. 121 00:05:11,370 --> 00:05:12,620 Neither of those two people 122 00:05:12,620 --> 00:05:15,760 belonged on a Presidential stage. 123 00:05:15,760 --> 00:05:17,540 - Don't let the Yang gang hear that. 124 00:05:17,540 --> 00:05:20,190 Those candidates would probably still be able to run, 125 00:05:20,190 --> 00:05:22,540 but they'd have red flags against their names 126 00:05:22,540 --> 00:05:24,250 for voters to consider. 127 00:05:24,250 --> 00:05:27,250 It's a kin to peer reviews in other industries. 128 00:05:27,250 --> 00:05:29,960 - If you're gonna have a surgery on your brain, 129 00:05:29,960 --> 00:05:34,280 you want not a neurosurgeon whose the most popular 130 00:05:34,280 --> 00:05:36,190 and who says the cutest things, 131 00:05:36,190 --> 00:05:39,720 you want a neurosurgeon, who other neurosurgeons have said, 132 00:05:39,720 --> 00:05:43,400 oh yeah, this guy is qualified to crack your skull open. 133 00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:44,800 - Even more critical, 134 00:05:44,800 --> 00:05:47,740 it would gate keep against dangerous Demagogues. 135 00:05:47,740 --> 00:05:51,050 In 1924, Henry Ford of Ford Motors 136 00:05:51,050 --> 00:05:52,940 started campaigning for President. 137 00:05:52,940 --> 00:05:54,160 He ran his mouth a lot. 138 00:05:54,160 --> 00:05:57,500 He said unsavory things, many of them antisemitic, 139 00:05:57,500 --> 00:05:59,230 and had links to the KKK. 140 00:05:59,230 --> 00:06:01,450 He was incredibly popular with the public, 141 00:06:01,450 --> 00:06:02,940 but because the Primaries 142 00:06:02,940 --> 00:06:05,110 had such little binding power then, 143 00:06:05,110 --> 00:06:08,170 he knew he had no path forward and bowed out. 144 00:06:08,170 --> 00:06:10,600 If any of that sounds at all familiar, 145 00:06:10,600 --> 00:06:13,090 scholars have compared Ford's core ideas 146 00:06:13,090 --> 00:06:15,480 to making America Great Again. 147 00:06:15,480 --> 00:06:19,430 Many Americans may find party intervention deeply troubling. 148 00:06:19,430 --> 00:06:21,950 Would Barack Obama, a relative upstart, 149 00:06:21,950 --> 00:06:24,030 have gotten the blessing of party leaders 150 00:06:24,030 --> 00:06:26,040 and would he have found his footing without it? 151 00:06:26,040 --> 00:06:28,470 Would party insiders have given Bernie Sanders 152 00:06:28,470 --> 00:06:30,340 the stamp of approval this cycle? 153 00:06:30,340 --> 00:06:32,570 Wouldn't the status quo always win out? 154 00:06:32,570 --> 00:06:36,210 So, maybe it's the very essence of American Democracy 155 00:06:36,210 --> 00:06:38,850 for contenders to duke it out state by state 156 00:06:38,850 --> 00:06:41,160 while hoping for somewhat as to reform 157 00:06:41,160 --> 00:06:43,370 at least to increase voter turnout. 158 00:06:43,370 --> 00:06:46,510 Most would agree that that starts with ditching Caucuses, 159 00:06:46,510 --> 00:06:48,250 and that's already underway. 160 00:06:48,250 --> 00:06:51,070 With 10 Caucus states from 2016 switching 161 00:06:51,070 --> 00:06:53,170 to Primaries this time around. 162 00:06:53,170 --> 00:06:57,000 But, until then, maybe this uncomfortable metaphor 163 00:06:57,000 --> 00:07:01,570 for the Primaries from the DNC Chair actually, kind of, 164 00:07:01,570 --> 00:07:04,370 should give us some faith in the process we have. 165 00:07:04,370 --> 00:07:06,590 - We've got a remarkably defense of candidates, 166 00:07:06,590 --> 00:07:09,540 and I encourage you to continue to get to know them, 167 00:07:09,540 --> 00:07:11,970 kick the tires, speed date, 168 00:07:11,970 --> 00:07:14,070 date multiple people at the same time, 169 00:07:14,070 --> 00:07:16,360 fall in love, fall in love with multiple people, 170 00:07:16,360 --> 00:07:18,800 but in the end of the day, we will have one nominee. 171 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:21,700 - We'll leave you to digest that awkward image 172 00:07:21,700 --> 00:07:23,233 until we see you next time.