1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:02,160 DONALD TRUMP: Right now we have a blockade. 2 00:00:02,160 --> 00:00:04,180 They're doing no business. 3 00:00:04,180 --> 00:00:05,980 I didn't like seeing boats come out. 4 00:00:05,980 --> 00:00:07,080 Speaker 2: President Donald Trump said 5 00:00:07,080 --> 00:00:08,200 the military blockade of 6 00:00:08,200 --> 00:00:09,840 all Iranian ports on the Persian Gulf, 7 00:00:09,840 --> 00:00:11,960 and Gulf of Oman has begun Monday. 8 00:00:11,960 --> 00:00:13,240 The U. S. military said it 9 00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:14,660 would still allow the ships to travel 10 00:00:14,660 --> 00:00:16,300 between non-Iranian ports to 11 00:00:16,300 --> 00:00:17,740 pass through the Strait of Hormuz. 12 00:00:17,740 --> 00:00:19,000 That's where roughly a fifth of 13 00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:21,060 the world's oil passed through before the war. 14 00:00:21,060 --> 00:00:22,520 The key waterway has already been 15 00:00:22,520 --> 00:00:24,080 effectively closed throughout the war, 16 00:00:24,080 --> 00:00:26,760 where only some ships perceived Tehran as friendly has 17 00:00:26,760 --> 00:00:27,880 been allowed to pass while 18 00:00:27,880 --> 00:00:29,540 charging some considerable fees. 19 00:00:29,540 --> 00:00:31,120 Experts say a successful blockade 20 00:00:31,120 --> 00:00:32,360 of Iranian ports will require 21 00:00:32,360 --> 00:00:33,720 sustained commitment from the U. S. 22 00:00:33,720 --> 00:00:35,260 Navy's ships, and personnel. 23 00:00:35,260 --> 00:00:37,240 On top of clear guidance from the administration, 24 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:38,760 and the Navy's legal department. 25 00:00:38,760 --> 00:00:41,920 The biggest challenge, they say, 26 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:43,560 will be how they will plan to enforce 27 00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:44,720 the enormous amount of ships 28 00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:45,900 that pass through the strait. 29 00:00:45,900 --> 00:00:47,620 SIDHARTH KAUSHAL: A lot depends on 30 00:00:47,620 --> 00:00:49,540 the early days of the blockade, 31 00:00:49,540 --> 00:00:52,180 how many vessels the Americans can seize, 32 00:00:52,180 --> 00:00:55,480 how how much they can convince vessels 33 00:00:55,480 --> 00:00:56,680 attempting to slip through 34 00:00:56,680 --> 00:00:58,820 a cordon that they're likely to be seen. 35 00:00:58,820 --> 00:01:00,240 But in all likelihood, 36 00:01:00,240 --> 00:01:02,000 I'd say it will prove 37 00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:05,140 difficult for for the U. S. to enforce. 38 00:01:05,140 --> 00:01:06,800 Speaker 2: For ships hoping to get through the strait, 39 00:01:06,800 --> 00:01:08,000 the fears of getting caught up in 40 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:09,280 the fighting for influence over 41 00:01:09,280 --> 00:01:10,580 the waterway will continue to 42 00:01:10,580 --> 00:01:12,440 prevent them from venturing across. 43 00:01:12,440 --> 00:01:14,920 That means higher prices for oil, and gas. 44 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:16,520 Analysts repeatedly have warned that the 45 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:18,200 longer this waterway remains closed, 46 00:01:18,200 --> 00:01:19,480 the worse prices could get not 47 00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:21,120 only for oil but also food, 48 00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:22,960 and fertilizer, which could hurt farmers 49 00:01:22,960 --> 00:01:25,080 and potentially worsen hunger worldwide. 50 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:26,680 As talks between the US and Iran 51 00:01:26,680 --> 00:01:28,480 ended without an agreement over the weekend. 52 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:30,160 Kaushal noted that historically, 53 00:01:30,160 --> 00:01:31,420 blockades are not enough to 54 00:01:31,420 --> 00:01:33,120 quickly defeat another country, 55 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:34,520 but are used to pressure economies 56 00:01:34,520 --> 00:01:37,390 during a conflict over time [NOISE].